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The South African province where you are least likely to get murdered

The crime rate in South Africa has risen, with a worrying increase in murders, rapes and hijackings in the past two financial quarters.

The South African Police Service (SAPS) leadership, on Friday morning in Cape Town, announced the crime statistics of two quarters:

The release of the Q4 2023-2024 statistics were delayed due to the 29 May elections, SAPS claimed.

Crime stats: Safest province in South Africa

The 2024-2025 Q1 crime stats paint a bleak picture, but one province in South Africa is considered the safest: Limpopo province.

At the Friday briefing, Minister of Police Senzo Mchunu referred to the the ratio of murders committed per capita per province (that is, ratio per 100 000 of the population), revealing the four provinces with the highest ratios:

  • Eastern Cape (17.6%)
  • Western Cape (15.3 %)
  • KwaZulu-Natal (12.3%)
  • Gauteng (8.3%)

“It is worth noting that the Limpopo province recorded 3.3% per capita, making it the safest province in as far as murder is concerned,” Senzo said.

Image: SAPS

Mchunu prefaced the numbers with gloom, saying the crime situation in country was getting worse.

“These numbers tell a sobering story, reflecting the severity of the challenges we face. These numbers represent more than just figures on a page; they reflect the lived realities of our citizens – their fears, their losses, and their hopes for a safer tomorrow,” the minister said.

The top 30 police stations for murder case were concentrated in four provinces.

“All the top 30 stations for murder were in only four provinces, namely Western Cape [11 stations], KwaZulu-Natal [8], Eastern Cape [6] and Gauteng [5]

“The leading stations among them were Nyanga [Western Cape], followed by Inanda [KwaZulu-Natal], Umlazi [KwaZulu-Natal], Khayelitsha [Western Cape] and Harare [Western Cape],” Mchunu said.

Limpopo also had the lowest number of attempted murder cases, beating out South Africa’s other province for the second corresponding quarter, consecutively.

Image: SAPS

However, Limpopo has huge caveat to its “safest province” label.

On the list of top 30 police stations where rape cases were lodged, the Thohoyandou station in Vhembe district, Limpopo, is number three, behind Mthatha (Eastern Cape) and Inanda (KwaZulu-Natal).

Image: SAPS

What will reduce crime in SA? Improved economy, better policing or harsher jail sentences?

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