Jeremy’s Weekly Update: Tensions in Coalition, Water Crisis Warnings, and New Pret a Manger Opening
The government of national unity (GNU) in South Africa is encountering its most significant challenge, as the Democratic Alliance (DA) rallies against the Expropriation and National Health Insurance (NHI) Bills. On Moneyweb@Midday, Ray Hartley from the Brenthurst Foundation discussed how these bills are perceived by the DA as threats to property rights and economic stability, further exacerbating divisions within the coalition. The ANC’s effort to advance pre-GNU legislation without widespread consultation has frustrated the DA, leading to concerns about the coalition’s long-term sustainability.
President Cyril Ramaphosa’s diminishing political leverage may be influencing these policy decisions, but the repercussions—particularly concerning NHI funding and expropriation risks—have already unsettled markets and undermined investor confidence.
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In other news, South Africa’s water crisis has escalated to a level of urgency akin to load shedding, with Dr. Andrew Dickson from CBI-electric: low voltage cautioning that declining infrastructure and mismanagement are resulting in significant water losses.
In contrast to electricity, water supply has no substitutes, which intensifies the crisis. However, the application of smart technology—through AI-driven monitoring, data analytics, and smart metering—could substantially curb wastage and boost efficiency. While initial expenses are steep, the long-term savings could be considerable. Despite government prioritization, the slow implementation due to funding issues and bureaucratic slowdowns raises doubts about whether viable solutions will emerge promptly.
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On a brighter note, British food and coffee chain Pret a Manger is making its debut in South Africa’s competitive food market, with CEO Pano Christou announcing that the first store will open on February 14 at Melrose Arch. The brand aims to merge global standards with local tastes by incorporating chakalaka into its menu items. Although affordability and value are major concerns, Christou is optimistic about Pret’s success, backed by its collaboration with Millat Group. Plans for expansion include more locations in Johannesburg and subsequently in Cape Town, as the brand seeks to attract the younger South African demographic.
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Lastly, there’s positive news for salaried individuals in South Africa. Economist Elize Kruger pointed out a 12% increase in take-home pay in 2024, indicating a recovery after two challenging years. Factors such as reduced inflation, interest rate cuts, and better business conditions have contributed to this growth. However, high unemployment continues to pose the biggest economic hurdle, leaving millions jobless. While salary growth is predicted to persist into 2025, challenges like exchange rate fluctuations and weak GDP growth may hinder progress. Without structural labor reforms and stronger economic performance, these wage increases will largely benefit only those fortunate enough to be employed.
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